The epidemiology of dying within 48 hours of presentation to emergency departments: a retrospective cohort study of older people across Australia and New Zealand.

BACKGROUND: Emergency department (ED) clinicians are more frequently providing care, including end-of-life care, to older people. OBJECTIVES: To estimate the need for ED end-of-life care for people aged ≥65 years, describe characteristics of those dying within 48 hours of ED presentation and compare those dying in ED with those dying elsewhere. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study analysing data from 177 hospitals in Australia and New Zealand. Data on older people presenting to ED from January to December 2018, and those who died within 48 hours of ED presentation, were analysed using simple descriptive statistics and univariate logistic regression. RESULTS: From participating hospitals in Australia or New Zealand, 10,921 deaths in older people occurred. The 48-hour mortality rate was 6.43 per 1,000 ED presentations (95% confidence interval: 6.31-6.56). Just over a quarter (n = 3,067, 28.1%) died in ED. About one-quarter of the cohort (n = 2,887, 26.4%) was triaged into less urgent triage categories. Factors with an increased risk of dying in ED included age 65-74 years, ambulance arrival, most urgent triage categories, principal diagnosis of circulatory system disorder, and not identifying as an Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander person. Of the 7,677 older people admitted, half (n = 3,836, 50.0%) had an encounter for palliative care prior to, or during, this presentation. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide insight into the challenges of recognising the dying older patient and differentiating those appropriate for end-of-life care. We support recommendations for national advanced care planning registers and suggest a review of triage systems with an older person-focused lens.

Cellulitis in the Emergency Department: A prospective cohort study with patient-centred follow-up.

OBJECTIVE: There is substantial practice variation in the management of cellulitis with limited prospective studies describing the course of cellulitis after diagnosis. We aimed to describe the demographics, clinical features (erythema, warmth, swelling and pain), patient-reported disease trajectory and medium-term follow-up for ED patients with cellulitis. METHODS: Prospective observational cohort study of adults diagnosed with cellulitis in two EDs in Southeast Queensland, Australia. Patients with (peri)orbital cellulitis and abscess were excluded. Data were obtained from a baseline questionnaire, electronic medical records and follow-up questionnaires at 3, 7 and 14 days. Clinician adjudication of day 14 cellulitis cure was compared to patient assessment. Descriptive analyses were conducted. RESULTS: Three-hundred patients (mean age 50 years, SD 19.9) with cellulitis were enrolled, predominantly affecting the lower limb (75%). Cellulitis features showed greatest improvement between enrolment and day 3. Clinical improvement continued gradually at days 7 and 14 with persistent skin erythema (41%) and swelling (37%) at day 14. Skin warmth was the feature most likely to be resolved at each time point. There was a discrepancy in clinician and patient assessment of cellulitis cure at day 14 (85.8% vs. 52.8% cured). CONCLUSIONS: A clinical response of cellulitis features can be expected at day 3 with ongoing slower improvement over time. Over one third of patients had erythema or swelling at day 14. Patients are less likely than clinicians to deem their cellulitis cured at day 14. Future research should include parallel patient and clinician evaluation of cellulitis to help develop clearer definitions of treatment failure and cure.

End-of-life care: A retrospective cohort study of older people who died within 48 hours of presentation to the emergency department.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the characteristics of, and care provided to, older people who died within 48 h of ED presentation. METHODS: A descriptive retrospective cohort study of people 65 years and older presenting to two EDs in Queensland, Australia, between April 2018 and March 2019. Data from electronic medical records were collected and analysed. RESULTS: Two hundred and ninety-five older people who died within 48 h of ED presentation were included. Nearly all arrived by ambulance (92%, n = 272) and 36% (n = 106) were from aged care facilities. Three-quarters (75%, n = 222) were triaged into the most urgent triage categories (i.e. Australasian Triage Scale; ATS 1/2). Fewer than half were previously independent with mobility (38%, n = 111) and activities of daily living (43%, n = 128). Sixty-one per cent (n = 181) had a pre-existing healthcare directive. Twenty-two per cent (n = 66) died in ED, most commonly due to pneumonia, intracerebral haemorrhage, cardiac arrest and/or sepsis. Over half had one or more ED visits (52%, n = 154) and/or hospital admissions (52%, n = 152) 6 months prior. CONCLUSIONS: Identification of patients at end-of-life (EoL) is not always straightforward; consider recent reduction in independence and recent ED visits/hospital admissions. System-based strategies that span pre-hospital, ED and in-patient care are recommended to facilitate EoL pathway implementation and care continuity.

Emergency department presentations during the COVID-19 pandemic in Queensland (to June 2021): interrupted time series analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To assess emergency department (ED) presentation numbers in Queensland during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic to mid-2021, a period of relatively low COVID-19 case numbers. DESIGN: Interrupted time series analysis. SETTING: All 105 Queensland public hospital EDs. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Numbers of ED presentations during the COVID-19 lockdown period (11 March 2020 - 30 June 2020) and the period of easing restrictions (1 July 2020 - 30 June 2021), compared with pre-pandemic period (1 January 2018 - 10 March 2020), overall (daily numbers) and by Australasian Triage Scale (ATS; daily numbers) and selected diagnostic categories (cardiac, respiratory, mental health, injury-related conditions) and conditions (stroke, sepsis) (weekly numbers). RESULTS: During the lockdown period, the mean number of ED presentations was 19.4% lower (95% confidence interval, -20.9% to -17.9%) than during the pre-pandemic period (predicted mean number: 5935; actual number: 4786 presentations). The magnitudes of the decline and the time to return to predicted levels varied by ATS category and diagnostic group; changes in presentation numbers were least marked for ATS 1 and 2 (most urgent) presentations, and for presentations with cardiac conditions or stroke. Numbers remained below predicted levels during the 12-month post-lockdown period for ATS 5 (least urgent) presentations and presentations with mental health problems, respiratory conditions, or sepsis. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 pandemic and related public restrictions were associated with profound changes in health care use. Pandemic plans should include advice about continuing to seek care for serious health conditions and health emergencies, and support alternative sources of care for less urgent health care needs.

Forearmed is forewarned: A prospective intervention observational time-series study of patient empowerment for ultrasound-guided peripheral intravenous access.

OBJECTIVE: Ultrasound (US) is a valuable adjunct to improve the success rates of difficult peripheral intravenous cannula (PIVC) insertions but is usually clinician initiated. The present study assessed for any change in clinician practice resulting from interventions aimed at empowering patients to advocate for early use of US if they self-identified as having difficult PIVC access. METHODS: This was a prospective observational time-series study using a rapid quality improvement (RQI) framework. Three ED waiting room intervention strategies (printed media, video and wristband) were tested over three 2-week periods at a large teaching hospital. The impact of each intervention was assessed at eight time points during each intervention and compared to a pre-intervention baseline period using trend and time-series analysis. RESULTS: A total of 1611 PIVC insertions were surveyed over 42 time points. The proportion of US-guided PIVC insertions was highest during Intervention 3 (wristbands; 5.5%) but all proportions remained below baseline (6.5%). Trend analysis identified an increasing frequency of US use during Intervention 1 (printed media, P = 0.01). However, no statistically significant trends were observed within the periods. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first prospective study to assess the effect of various interventions to empower patients to self-identify as having difficult PIVC access and advocate for the use of US-guidance. The present study was indeterminate: no intervention tested in the present study noticeably influenced clinical practice, potentially attributable to the study design and confounding factors. This innovative study serves as a pilot for future research into patient empowerment, which is currently lacking in the literature.

Rural and Remote Intubations in an Australian Air Medical Retrieval Service: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Critically unwell patients in rural and remote areas of Queensland, Australia, often require airway management with rapid sequence intubation before retrieval to a tertiary center. Retrieval Services Queensland coordinate retrievals and support rural hospitals, including via telehealth. This study compared the demographics of patients intubated by a retrieval team including a LifeFlight Retrieval Medicine doctor with those intubated by the local hospital team. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of patients intubated in hospitals in Queensland, Australia, requiring subsequent air medical retrieval between January and December 2019. The data collected included the time of day, mission priority, geographic location, diagnosis, and failure/assistance with intubation. Descriptive statistics were complemented by regression analyses. RESULTS: In 2019, 684 patients were intubated in hospitals in Queensland, Australia, requiring air medical retrieval by a team including a LifeFlight Retrieval Medicine doctor. One hundred thirty-one (19.2%) were intubated by the retrieval team, and 553 (80.8%) were intubated by the hospital team. In the most rural and remote areas, 64 (43.2%) of the patients were intubated by the retrieval team compared with 84 (56.8%) by the hospital team. CONCLUSION: A retrieval team is more likely to intubate patients in remote hospitals in Queensland, Australia. Remote hospitals should be given preference for dispatch of the retrieval team for assistance with critical patients.

Safety of rapid sequence intubation in an emergency training network.

OBJECTIVE: Rapid sequence intubation (RSI) is a core critical care skill. Emergency medicine trainees are exposed to relatively low numbers of RSIs. We aimed to improve patient outcomes by implementing an RSI checklist, electronic learning and audit, in line with current best evidence. METHODS: Prospective observational study of RSIs performed in the EDs of two Queensland hospitals between January 2014 and December 2016. Data collected included: first-pass success (FPS), predicted difficulty, indication for intubation, drugs used, positioning, number of attempts, checklist use and complications. Descriptive statistics and multivariable modelling were used to describe differences in FPS, and complications. RESULTS: Six hundred and fifty-five patients underwent RSI with FPS of 86.6%. Complications were reported in 15.9%, mainly hypotension (10.9%) and desaturation (4.0%). FPS improved with bougie use (88.9% vs 73.0% without bougie, P < 0.001) and video-laryngoscopy (88.2% vs 72.9% using standard laryngoscopy, P < 0.001). New desaturation was reduced with apnoeic oxygenation (2.0% vs 22.2%, P < 0.001), bougie use (2.8% vs 8.9%, P < 0.001), checklist use (2.3% vs 22.7%, P < 0.001) and achieving FPS (2.1% vs 16.3%, P < 0.001). Complications were reduced with checklist use (13.3% vs 43.2%, P < 0.001) and apnoeic oxygenation use (3.9% vs 31.1%, P < 0.001). Logistic regression found checklist use was associated with reduced desaturation (OR 0.1, 95% CI 0.04-0.27) and the composite variable of any complication (OR 0.39, 95% CI 0.17-0.89). CONCLUSIONS: Implementation of an evidence-based care bundle and audit of practice has created a safe environment for trainees to learn the core critical care skill of RSI. In our setting, checklist use was associated with fewer complications.